2024 Poll Shows How Biden And Trump Will Do In A Rematch

President Joe Biden and Donald Trump are neck and neck among likely voters asked who they would back in the 2024 election, according to polling carried out for Newsweek.

The survey, from Redfield & Wilton Strategies, revealed that 41 percent would vote for Biden, with 41 percent also saying they would back Trump in a hypothetical 2024 showdown.

A further 11 percent said they were not sure who they would vote for if the election, which is still two years away, was between Biden and Trump.

The poll of 1500 people found that 85 percent of Trump supporters and 82 percent of Biden voters said they would support their candidates again in 2024 if they were on the ballots.

The results of the recent midterm elections, which was seen as a referendum on Biden and the influence of Trump and his MAGA endorsements, does not appear to have made an immediate impact on voters.

While Biden’s low approval ratings amid high inflation weighed on Democrats, the GOP ultimately failed to win control of the Senate and only just achieved a 218 majority in the House, with waves of Trump’s chosen candidates losing their elections across the country.

Compared to a November poll from Redfield & Wilton Strategies, Trump only fell one point from 42 percent, while Biden dropped two points.

The December poll found that inflation (46 percent) and economic growth (36 percent) are the top two main factors that will determine how people vote in 2024.

The third biggest issue was abortion (27 percent), which the Democrats leaned heavily on during the midterm campaigning in the wake of the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade.

Elsewhere, the poll found that Biden would beat Florida Governor Ron DeSantis— seen as the main rival to replace Trump as the GOP presidential candidate—in hypothetical match-up by 42-40 percent.

If the 2024 race was between Kamala Harris and Trump, 43 percent of Americans say they would vote for the Republican and 41 percent say they would vote for the vice president.

The Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll also showed that Biden’s approval rating remains underwater, with 45 percent likely saying they disapprove of his overall job performance, compared to 41 percent who approve.

Other polls also show similar poor approval ratings for both Biden and Trump.


On December 7, a Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Biden’s approval rating falling 2 points to 38 percent, approaching the lowest point of 36 percent recorded in May and June.

A recent YouGov poll conducted for The Economist also had Trump with an overwhelmingly negative approval rating, with 59 percent saying they disapprove of the former president compared to 36 who approve.

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